All Posts Tagged With: "ZOGBY"

Weekend Political Poll Roundup and A Snicker

Never let your dog watch your food; never let the Congress watch your money - Barry Goldwater, Jr.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday-including the two days of post-debate polling-is unchanged. Barack Obama once again attracts 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. This five-point advantage nearly matches Obama’s biggest lead yet and marks the first time he has held such a lead for three-days running. Rasmussen says Obama has 200 electoral votes and McCain 174. Colorado (9); New Mexico (5); New Hampshire (4); Nevada (5); Ohio (20) and Virginia (13) are now all in the toss-up column. Clearly those 56 votes are pivotal. 55 other electors lean toward Obama and 53 are leaning toward McCain.

Gallup did not publish findings on Sunday. Obama lead by 5% in its Saturday polling. According to ZOGBY Obama won Friday’s debate by the narrowest of margins 44% to 41% who say McCain won. Rasmussen found Obama won the debate by 36% to 34% and 31% were not sure. While 16% said it was a tie. Women felt Obama won and men felt McCain did. Before the debate people felt Obama would win by a 4 to 3 margin. Obama/Biden leads 47.1% to McCain/Palin 45.9% in the “who would you vote for?” question.

PBS television personality Jim Lehrer won the debate by unexpectedly being fair and balanced. 76% say Lehrer was neutral. Seven percent (7%) thought he tried to help Obama, 3% thought he tried to help McCain and 14% were not sure.

Today, Barack Obama told Joe Biden to be less like Sarah Palin: “Stop talking to the press!” - Leno

Thirty-three percent of Likely Voters now favor the Wall Street  ”bail out” plan while 32% are opposed and 35% are not sure. Just 49% understand that the government anticipates recovering a significant portion of the $700 billion when the assets purchased are resold. Those who understand that taxpayers will eventually get much of the money back support the bailout by a 2-to-1 margin. Narrow pluralities of both Obama supporters and McCain supporters favor the legislation and the reaction from liberals and conservatives are similarly mixed. Thirty-six percent (36%) of Investors support the plan while 31% are opposed.

In one of the most tumultuous weekend in college sports history nine of colleges top 25 football lost last weekend starting with Number 1 USC on Thursday night. Eleven won and five had a bye week.

Debate Changed Nothing

44% say Obama  won: 41% say McCain did

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday-including the first day of post-debate polling-is unchanged. Barack Obama once again attracts 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This six-point advantage matches Obama’s biggest lead yet and marks the first time he has held such a lead for two-days running. Rasmussen says Obama has 200 electoral votes and McCain 174. Colorado (9); New Mexico (5); New Hampshire (4); Nevada (5); Ohio (20) and Virginia (13) are now all in the toss-up column. Clearly those 56 votes are pivotal. 55 other electors lean toward Obama and 53 are leaning toward McCain.

Gallup did not publish findings on Sunday. Obama led by 5% in its Saturday polling. According to ZOGBY Obama won Friday’s debate by the narrowest of margins 44% to 41% who say McCain won. While 16% said it was a tie. Women felt Obama won and men felt McCain did. Before the debate people felt PObama would win by a 4 to 3 margin. Obama/Biden leads 47.1% to McCain/Palin 45.9% in the “who would you vote for?” question.

McCain Move Moves Polls In His Favor

McCain move viewed positively and poll trends moves toward him.

Zogby polling says Republican John McCain’s poll numbers improved as he suspended his campaign Wednesday to head back to Washington and that he now leads 46% to 44% for Obama.

Gallup’s overnight tracking poll shows Obama losing 2% and McCain gaining 1% to tie the presidential contest and now put it at 46% each. The polling was conducted over three nights including Wednesday night after McCain announced he was suspending his campaign.

Rasmussen’s 3-day rolling averages among likely voters puts the race at 49% for Obama and 46% for McCain.

A FOX NEWS poll finds miserable job approval ratings for the President at 26% with 66% disapproving. Congress’ job approval is an even worse at 17% approval and 73% disapproving.

Only the ABC/Washington Post poll taken earlier this week has had a very different result in the presidential race.

Palin Daughter Pregnancy Appears to Impact Polls

McCain VP Pick Bounces Polls But Daughter’s Pregnancy Appears to Deflate it.

The Saturday ZOGBY nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon Saturday before the Palin daughter’s pregnancy became known shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden.

A Gallup poll conducted Aug. 29-31, also before the pregnancy disclosure among registered voters prefer Obama 49% to 43%. A Rasmussen Poll released Tuesday, September 2 taken overnight among likely voters has Obama at 51% versus McCain at 45% marking the first time either candidate has achieved a majority.

ZOGBY POLL Finds Big Turn Around and Slight Lead for McCain

How do they know?

Eleven Point Shift To McCain Since Obama Euro-Tour

A national Associated TV/Zogby International telephone poll of 1,011 likely voters conducted July 31-Aug. 1 finds Republican Sen. John McCain taking a razor-thin 42%-41% lead over Democrat Sen. Barack Obama in the race for the U.S. presidency.

This is a notable turn-around from the Reuters/Zogby poll of July 7-9 that showed Obama ahead, 46%-36% in a four-way match-up that included Libertarian candidate Bob Barr of Georgia and liberal independent candidate Ralph Nader. McCain made significant gains at Obama’s expense among some of what had been Obama’s strongest demographic groups. For example:

  • McCain gained 20% and Obama lost 16% among voters ages 18-29. Obama still leads that group, 49%-38%.
  • Among women, McCain closed 10 points on Obama, who still leads by a 43%-38% margin.
  • Obama has lost what was an 11% lead among Independents. He and McCain are now tied.
  • Obama had some slippage among Democrats, dropping from 83% to 74%.
  • Obama’s support among single voters dropped by 19%, and he now leads McCain, 51%-37%.
  • Even with African-Americans and Hispanics, Obama shows smaller margins.

By region, McCain’s greatest gains came in the Central U.S. and in the West, home to several key battleground states. What was a narrow Obama lead in the Central U.S. is now a 45%-36% McCain edge. In the West, Obama’s 15% lead is gone, and McCain is now ahead, 43%-40%.

On Monday Rasmussen polling also reported a turn around in McCain’s favor at Obama’s expense and a slight McCain lead.

ZOGBY POLL SHOWS +10% FOR CLINTON IN KEYSTONE PRIMARY

Lessons for percentsAs dawn broke over Pennsylvania Clinton’s lead over Obama had opened to 51% to 41%. Clinton having gained three points over the past 24 hours as Obama lost one point, pushing her beyond the poll’s margin of error to create a statistically significant lead for the first time in the Pennsylvania daily tracking poll.

Obama has poured millions into ads in Pennsylvania hoping for a knock out blow that does not appear to be occuring.

Meanwhile, 6% remained undecided and another 3% said they preferred someone else in the two-day tracking poll.

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