All Posts Tagged With: "Gallup"

Never let your dog watch your food; never let the Congress watch your money - Barry Goldwater, Jr.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday-including the two days of post-debate polling-is unchanged. Barack Obama once again attracts 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. This five-point advantage nearly matches Obama’s biggest lead yet and marks the first time he has held such a lead for three-days running. Rasmussen says Obama has 200 electoral votes and McCain 174. Colorado (9); New Mexico (5); New Hampshire (4); Nevada (5); Ohio (20) and Virginia (13) are now all in the toss-up column. Clearly those 56 votes are pivotal. 55 other electors lean toward Obama and 53 are leaning toward McCain.

Gallup did not publish findings on Sunday. Obama lead by 5% in its Saturday polling. According to ZOGBY Obama won Friday’s debate by the narrowest of margins 44% to 41% who say McCain won. Rasmussen found Obama won the debate by 36% to 34% and 31% were not sure. While 16% said it was a tie. Women felt Obama won and men felt McCain did. Before the debate people felt Obama would win by a 4 to 3 margin. Obama/Biden leads 47.1% to McCain/Palin 45.9% in the “who would you vote for?” question.

PBS television personality Jim Lehrer won the debate by unexpectedly being fair and balanced. 76% say Lehrer was neutral. Seven percent (7%) thought he tried to help Obama, 3% thought he tried to help McCain and 14% were not sure.

Today, Barack Obama told Joe Biden to be less like Sarah Palin: “Stop talking to the press!” - Leno

Thirty-three percent of Likely Voters now favor the Wall Street  ”bail out” plan while 32% are opposed and 35% are not sure. Just 49% understand that the government anticipates recovering a significant portion of the $700 billion when the assets purchased are resold. Those who understand that taxpayers will eventually get much of the money back support the bailout by a 2-to-1 margin. Narrow pluralities of both Obama supporters and McCain supporters favor the legislation and the reaction from liberals and conservatives are similarly mixed. Thirty-six percent (36%) of Investors support the plan while 31% are opposed.

In one of the most tumultuous weekend in college sports history nine of colleges top 25 football lost last weekend starting with Number 1 USC on Thursday night. Eleven won and five had a bye week.

McCain move viewed positively and poll trends moves toward him.

Zogby polling says Republican John McCain’s poll numbers improved as he suspended his campaign Wednesday to head back to Washington and that he now leads 46% to 44% for Obama.

Gallup’s overnight tracking poll shows Obama losing 2% and McCain gaining 1% to tie the presidential contest and now put it at 46% each. The polling was conducted over three nights including Wednesday night after McCain announced he was suspending his campaign.

Rasmussen’s 3-day rolling averages among likely voters puts the race at 49% for Obama and 46% for McCain.

A FOX NEWS poll finds miserable job approval ratings for the President at 26% with 66% disapproving. Congress’ job approval is an even worse at 17% approval and 73% disapproving.

Only the ABC/Washington Post poll taken earlier this week has had a very different result in the presidential race.

Gallup 50%-46% among registered voters; Rasmussen 47%-46% of likely voters.

The latest Gallup Daily Tracking Poll shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 50% to 46%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today. These results are based on Sept. 4-6 interviewing, and include two full days of polling after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention last Thursday night. McCain has outpolled Obama on both Friday and Saturday, and is receiving a convention bounce just as Obama did last week.

McCain’s 48% share of the vote ties for his largest since Gallup tracking began in early March. He registered the same level of support in early May. This is also McCain’s largest advantage over Obama since early May, when he led by as much as six percentage points. Obama leads among voters under age 30 trailing in all other cohorts; young women  gives Obama the biggest nod; Obama leads among black 93%-3% and Hispanics 64%-24%; McCain leads among whites 50%-40%; weekly church attendees give McCain the biggest margin by 63%-28% while non-attendees support Obama 51%-39%.

The Rasmussen poll shows McCain ahead among likely voters 47%-46% a 7 point shift toward McCain in the last week. McCain leads by four points among men while Obama leads by three among women in that poll..

Among All Registered Voters Obama Leads 49-44% A Drop from 48-42% In June.

Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among “likely” voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of “registered” voters. By both measures, the race is tight.

The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%.

Among registered voters, McCain still trails Obama, but by less. He is behind by 3 percentage points in the new poll (47%-44%) vs. a 6-point disadvantage (48%-42%) in late June. Another poll among all voters, also by Gallup, gives Obama a 7% lead and used a larger sample.

Results based on the survey of 791 likely voters have margins of error of +/- 4 percentage points — so McCain’s lead is not outside that range. Results based on the survey of 900 registered voters also have margins of error of +/- 4 percentage points.

A Rasmussen Daily tracking poll released early Monday finds Obama now attracts 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 45%. Both Obama and McCain are viewed favorably by 56% of voters.

Both indicate the Barack-bounce has already faded away.