Archive for slowsmile

slowsmile

Born in Hong Kong. Early years spent in Malaya and the US. Moved to the UK and settled. Went to University, then army in UK. Worked in both Europe and America in hardware simulation and then switched to financial software working as a contractor. Now retired(early) living happily in San Fernando on Luzon within the Philippines. Hobbies: Tai Chi, Qigung, reading and writing.

Sarkozy Plans New Financial Crisis Meeting

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In my readings and judgement of the outcome of the G20 Summit in Washington, I have to say that that there was alot of talk, regulatory promises and reportage etc, but was anything achieved ? Was anything signed off ? Nope. I guess Bush Jnr firmly expects that the world financial crisis can just wait for its own solution. Clearly leaders such as ex-UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, current UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown and French President Nicholas Sarkozy were, perhaps, a little disappointed at this lack of urgency and response to the financial crisis. Which is why Mr Sarkozy has decided to hold his own European crisis meeting on January 8, 2009.

I was particularly amused to read of this meeting in the NY Times, that well known bastion of truth and unbiased reporting, which contained the headline, “Sarkozy’s Fiscal Meeting Raises Diplomatic Hackles“. Dotted about their parlez were declarations such as:

“President Nicolas Sarkozy of France left the summit meeting on the financial crisis here last weekend in a triumphal mood, declaring that it had tamed the animal spirits of American capitalism. Then he went home and announced that he would hold his own summit meeting in a few weeks in Paris — on the same topic.”

“That has raised hackles in diplomatic circles, not just because the [European] meeting appears to compete with a planned gathering of 20 world leaders next April. Mr. Sarkozy’s aggressive statements have put American officials on edge, with some saying that he seemed determined to turn the global crisis into a referendum on the ills of untrammeled capitalism.”

In reports of this meeting by such as Reuters and the Washington Times, the headlines and assessments were somewhat less biased and stirring. These newspapers suggest that the future summit planned for the G8 on April 2009 wasn’t exactly a rush to inspire confidence or respond adequately to the current economic crisis.

img5Therefore, as to the reasons why European leaders  want to further address this financial crisis, these reasons are many. ALL governments have their own economic and political Think Tanks and advisers who are not stupid. Their only function must be to develop policies which aid their own country. Here, as a best guess, is what they have probably been pondering concerning the US Bailout Plans and the latter’s performance so far:

  • At the recent G20 financial conference, President Bush Jr made damn sure nothing was signed. Plenty of talking and blabbing, but no urgency, no direct effective response. Bush Jr, evidently, doesn’t want any of the blame - he just wants to hand it off to President Obama.
  • The US government’s Bailout response to the financial crisis, via the voodoo-thinking of the US Treasury and the Fed, can only be described as very ad hoc, messy, ill-thought out and verging on the incompetent. With something approaching 73 Treasury advisers - all ex-Wall Street, Paulson has been inexplicably saving more and more Wall Street Institutions. Therefore, his credibility as a neutral political player is very suspect. Perhaps Paulson’s so-called tenet of “Recapitalizing the banks” should be re-read as “Recapitalizing Wall Street” with taxpayers money.
  • Just days before the $700 billion Bailout went into effect, Paulson bought $630 billion in credit default swaps in foreign currencies. This has caused the recent surge in the value of the US Dollar. When these swaps expire in early January 2009 - all these dollars will flood the currency markets once again and drag the dollar - and other currencies - down. Perhaps both Sarkozy and Gordon Brown have spotted this ruse, and perhaps they are aware of the currency problems that will occur in early January because of this heavy-handed play by Paulson.
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  • With her current Dollar problems, Energy problems, relationship problems with both China and Russia and a heavy, crippling Fiscal Debt, can the US government lead and focus effectively on the financial crisis in Global friendly terms, rather than eventually promoting its own isolationist and protectionist policies that would economically hurt both Asian and European economies and trade ?
  • When Obama takes rein as the next US President, then Bush Jr, Paulson and Bernanke might well all be out of a job. Why should they care what happens in April at the the next slow-moving G8 Financial Summit ?
  • With all the shadow agendas that have been perpetuated by the Bush Jr administration over the years, why should the stated economic intentions of either Paulson or Bernanke - both Bush’s main fiscal henchmen - be believed or trusted ?
  • With the recent projected downgrade of America’s influence in both the global economic and political spheres by 2025 - according to a recent  US NIC Report - European Leaders should help contribute to take the lead in sorting out the current economic and financial mess.

These will be the passing thoughts of those leaders and economists concerned with the European Conference in January 2009. It’s certainly a warming thought to realize that at least a few World Leaders are intent on taking this international financial crisis seriously…

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References :

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NIC Report: US Geopolitical Influence to Diminish by 2025

imgIn a report just out from the US National Intelligence Council called Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World, the assessments therein will be used to predict possible world “futures” with application to current US political strategies. Points made in the analysis have highlighted the following:

  • The whole international system—as constructed following WWII—will be revolutionized. Not only will new players—Brazil, Russia, India and China— have a seat at the international high table, they will bring new stakes and rules of the game.
  • The unprecedented transfer of wealth roughly from West to East now under way will continue for the foreseeable future.
  • Unprecedented economic growth, coupled with 1.5 billion more people, will put pressure on resources—particularly energy, food, and water—raising the specter of scarcities emerging as demand outstrips supply.
  • The potential for conflict will increase owing partly to political turbulence in parts of the greater Middle East

For a longer assessment of this document, here is a wider report and view from The Times :

The next two decades will see a world living with the daily threat of nuclear war, environmental catastrophe and the decline of America as the dominant global power, according to a frighteningly bleak assessment by the US intelligence community.

“The world of the near future will be subject to an increased likelihood of conflict over resources, including food and water, and will be img2haunted by the persistence of rogue states and terrorist groups with greater access to nuclear weapons,” said the report by the National Intelligence Council, a body of analysts from across the US intelligence community.

The analysts said that the report had been prepared in time for Barack Obama’s entry into the Oval office on January 20, where he will be faced with some of the greatest challenges of any newly elected US president.

“The likelihood that nuclear weapons will be used will increase with expanded access to technology and a widening range of options for limited strikes,” the 121-page assessment said.

The analysts draw attention to an already escalating nuclear arms race in the Middle East and anticipate that a growing number of rogue states will be prepared to share their destructive technology with terror groups. “Over the next 15-20 years reactions to the decisions Iran makes about its nuclear programme could cause a number of regional states to intensify these efforts and consider actively pursuing nuclear weapons,” the report Global Trends 2025 said. “This will add a new and more dangerous dimension to what is likely to be increasing competition for influence within the region,” it said.

The spread of nuclear capabilities will raise questions about the ability of weak states to safeguard them, it added. “If the number of nuclear-capable states increases, so will the number of countries potentially willing to provide nuclear assistance to other countries or to terrorists.”

The report said that global warming will aggravate the scarcity of water, food and energy resources. Citing a British study, it said that climate change could force up to 200 million people to migrate to more temperate zones. “Widening gaps in birth rates and wealth-to-poverty ratios, and the impact of climate change, could further exacerbate tensions,” it said.

“The international system will be almost unrecognisable by 2025, owing to the rise of emerging powers, a globalising economy, a transfer of wealth from West to East, and the growing influence of nonstate actors. Although the United States is likely to remain the single most powerful actor, the United States’ relative strength – even in the military realm – will decline and US leverage will become more strained.”

Global power will be multipolar with the rise of India and China, and the Korean peninsula will be unified in some form. Turning to the current financial situation, the analysts say that the financial crisis on Wall Street is the beginning of a global economic rebalancing.

The US dollar’s role as the major world currency will weaken to the point where it becomes a “first among equals”.

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“Strategic rivalries are most likely to revolve around trade, investments and technological innovation, but we cannot rule out a 19th-century-like scenario of arms races, territorial expansion and military rivalries.” The report, based on a global survey of experts and trends, was more pessimistic about America’s global status than previous outlooks prepared every four years. It said that outcomes will depend in part on the actions of political leaders. “The next 20 years of transition to a new system are fraught with risks,” it said.

The analysts also give warning that the kind of organised crime plaguing Russia could eventually take over the government of an Eastern or Central European country, and that countries in Africa and South Asia may find themselves ungoverned, as states wither away under pressure from security threats and diminishing resources..

The US intelligence community expects that terrorism would survive until 2025, but in slightly different form, suggesting that alQaeda’s “terrorist wave” might be breaking up. “Al Qaeda’s inability to attract broad-based support might cause it to decay sooner than people think,” it said.

On a positive note it added that an alternative to oil might be in place by 2025.

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Related Articles :

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Dollar Health: A Word from the Bears

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With all the current global problems, as the financial crisis continues to writhe, bleed and affect the global markets, as the oil price sinks inexplicably lower, with Peak Oil looming so close on the horizon, huge US Fiscal Debt problems, and China and Russia soon to unload their $ trillions - what chance the dollar ?

Perhaps a wide variety of expert views might help - from people who have long experience and know the markets intimately and who are taken seriously, whenever they utter their opinions and truths. Many have been saying it - that the dollar is a flawed currency now, some say possibly doomed.

Warren Buffet says :

“The rest of this the world owns $10 trillion of us, or $3 trillion net.” That is, U.S. claims on foreign assets run to only $7 trillion. “If lots of people try to leave the market, we’ll have chaos because they won’t get through the door.” In a nutshell, the trade deficit is forcing foreign central banks to ingest U.S. currency at a rate approaching $2 billion a day. Buffett continues: “If we have the same policies, the dollar will go down.”

Peter Schiff in his articel “The Humpty Dumpty Economy” explains:

img2“Reminiscent of his Bazooka maneuver, quick draw Paulson reversed course quickly with his decision to not use any TARP funds to buy the assets that the plan was specifically funded to procure. Instead, he will simply dole out the loot to his buddies on Wall Street and use it for whatever seemingly worthy initiative strikes his fancy. Although Congress loves to grandstand about oversight, it has thus far shown no courage to interfere, or even question, the change in strategy. Paulson claims that he is simply rolling with the punches. The truth however, is that the original plan was flawed from inception, as I clearly pointed out in a string of commentaries following his proposal. How could the Treasury Department, with all its funding and PhD’s, not make similar predictions? Paulson is either a liar or completely incompetent. My guess is he is both.”

Marc Faber, a well known European market analyst, writes:

“Simply put, whereas in the past cash could be perceived as ‘reasonably’ safe, today cash may, courtesy of modern central banking under the auspices of the US Fed, actually have become quite a dangerous asset class due to its depreciation not only against asset prices but also against consumer prices, if these were measured properly by government agencies.”

In a recent interview from the Financial Times regarding the dollar and US Economy, Jim Rogers had this to say:img

FT: It’s a year since we last interviewed you. You were aggressively bearish about the dollar, but you thought there would probably be a rebound and you would take that as an opportunity to get further out of the dollar. Have you made a further exit from the dollar?


JR: Not yet, no.And the reason I haven’t is because we’re in a period of forced liquidation of everything. We’ve had only eight or nine periods like this in the past 150 years, where everybody has to reverse their positions on everything.There is a gigantic short position in the dollar and they’re all having to cover as they reverse their positions, so this rout is going to go on much further than I would have expected - to my delight, because then I’ll get to sell at higher prices. I don’t know whether I’ll get out this month or this year even - maybe next year, but I do plan to get out of the rest of my US dollars, because this is an artificial rally caused purely by short covering.

FT: How will you tell when that deleveraging is finally over?

JR: I’m sure I won’t get it right, but I do hope that when there’s a lot of euphoria about the dollar and everybody’s saying, well, see, there’s no problem with the dollar . . . I hope I’m smart enough to recognise it and finally get out of the dollar, because it is a flawed and, maybe, even doomed currency.

FT: Do you see the sell-offs we’ve seen in commodities as a drastic correction?

JR: Well, we’re in a period of forced liquidation of all assets . . . we’re getting the business cycle effect on demand right now, certainly, but unless the world’s in perpetual economic decline, commodities are the only thing going to come out of this OK.

FT: Does this mean you’re actually buying back into commodities at the moment, or is this an area you’re standing clear of?

JR: No, no. In October when I started covering my shorts in the US stock market, I started buying Chinese shares, Taiwan shares. I started buying commodities again. No, no, I’ve added to those positions.

FT: What’s your strategy towards emerging market stocks?

JR: My hope is that I’m smart enough and brave enough at some point along the line to buy some of them back. But I’m not even thinking about it right now . . . The world’s financial situation is in a mess, and there are a lot of people who have to liquidate. I mean, we must have had 30,000 MBAs flying around the world looking for emerging markets. All of that money has got to come home.

FT: How do you think the world should go about redesigning the regulatory system, and are you worried that we’re going to end up with a swing towards over-regulation?

JR: Well, we probably will. The problem is that people like Alan Greenspan would never let the market work . . . For 15 years, under Greenspan, and now Bernanke, they would not let the market work. Had they let Long-Term Capital Management fail, back in 1998, we wouldn’t have these problems now, I assure you. Lehman Brothers would have been smashed. Goldman Sachs, Bear Stearns, would have been smashed. We wouldn’t have these problems now. That only happened because every time they turned around they propped these guys up, gave them more money, and that’s why we have the problem. . . . But now, of course, they’re going to blame it on other people and cause more regulations.

FT: You’re arguing we need to allow some more big institutions to fail?

JR: One failed. Why didn’t they let Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? I mean, I was short Fannie Mae, and they should have let it fail, go zero. AIG - they should have let it fail. They should have let all of these guys fail, and we would clean out the system . . . What they’re doing is, they’re taking the assets away from the competent people, giving them to the incompetent people and saying to the incompetent: ‘OK, now you can compete with the competent people, with their money.’ I mean, this is terrible economics. This is outrageous economics.

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A Frightening Indictment from the Bailout

imgThis extract was taken from the WSJ, an analysis from Seeking Alpha, in a surprisingly open piece, which seems to justify all the worries we all have concerning the nature of the US TARP $700 billion Bailout. While certain people blandly heave a sigh of relief at the supposed purpose of the bailout, certain other darker aspects of US banking behaviour have become very evident. This was bound to bubble and slither to the surface of this lumpy financial soup. The apparent greedy and fraudulent behaviour of the US banks is hardly surprising.  Predictably, this is purely about survival - almost Darwinian in fact - this is about earning buckets of money quickly and easily,  responsibility to shareholders, and about ‘winning’. I suppose we shouldn’t be surprised at the distrust, I guess we can all just sigh and  yawningly dismiss  it as just business as usual after all…

From Seeking Alpha:

The Wall Street Journal published something on its Real Time Economics Blog that we found to be extremely disturbing. Call us naive, but somehow we can’t help but feel that things are far worse than imagined after reading it.

Secretary Paulson clashed with members of the House Financial Services Committee during his testimony on Tuesday morning. He’s against using TARP funds to purchase troubled mortgage assets from the banks and Representatives are, somewhat justifiably, feeling as if Mr. Paulson is not following through on the intent of the legislation.

But that isn’t what’s troubling us because we believe Mr. Paulson is acting with the best intentions at heart and we also believe that members of Congress who voted for the TARP in good faith (and went to great pains to convince others to do so) are justified in grilling the Secretary pretty hard on why tactics appeared to have changed in mid-stream.

The problem lies with the reason Mr. Paulson is reluctant to use the funds in this manner, which he of course did not allude to during his testimony.

According to the WSJ:

Within the Treasury there’s a view that if the government is going to cover half the loss, banks will modify the terms of a loan for weak borrowers they know can’t make their payments, then foreclose and get the government to make up half the loss.

In other words, the Treasury feels that the reason it can’t use the funds in the manner Congress intended is because it believes the banks would act in an unscrupulous manner in order to subvert the intentions of the United States government at a time when the economy is facing its worst crisis since the Great Depression?

If the WSJ is correct this really is a terrible indictment on our society and out of all the things which have gone wrong since the crisis started in the summer of 2007, this has to rank as one of the worst. Is there no end to the greed?

Gordon Brown and the G20 - Krugman’s Verdict

Gordon BrownThe first assessments of the current G20 Financial Summit are out. And amid the muddle and fumblings of other countries as to what can be done, one leader seems to have quietly taken the reins of this gathering with a definitive plan. Gordon Brown, the current PM of UK, introduced this financial plan to the EU last month. A few European countries, then virtually all states decided to run with it because it was so good. Now he has introduced this plan to the G20 Meeting. I certainly don’t agree with all of his plan, but at least Mr Brown has brought the G20 together with a reasonably focused response. This, after all, is what a leader should do. President Bush is hosting the meeting - and reportedly all he brought to the meeting table was a neat haircut and a weary smile. He also served tea and coffee during the intervals (without any help at all, so they say). The following short article is from the UK Guardian, which includes quotes of high praise from Paul Krugman, the well known and highly respected US economist.

“From the way Gordon Brown was talking about the G20 summit at his Downing Street press conference this week, you could be forgiven for thinking that he sees it as his chance to audition for the role of chancellor of the exchequer for the world. But if that doesn’t work out, and if the voters boot him out at the general election, he has brilliant future as a university professor.

That’s not my verdict but Paul Krugman’s - and he’s just won the Nobel Prize for economics, so he should know. Krugman hailed Brown as the saviour of the world economy in a New York Times column last month and last night he and other economists met the prime minister after he arrived in New York for the G20 summit.

After the meeting, Krugman told the BBC’s Nick Robinson, for a Today programme interview, why he was so impressed by what Brown had done.

We had this completely muddle-headed response from the United States, the US Treasury: “Something must be done, the markets are frozen up.” But then the plan made no sense. It was really great confusion, and not much coming out of the eurozone. Then Gordon Brown comes along and says we are going to recapitalise the banks, which is what economists like myself had been saying. It provided the signal that we could do a straight-forward, well-focused response to this crisis. Britain is not one of the world’s biggest economies but Britain has ended up setting the template for everyone else’s response, which is quite amazing.

Then Robinson asked Krugman how Brown had gone down with the academics. Krugman was effusive.

He’s pretty good. If this prime minister thing doesn’t work out, he’s got a pretty good career as an academic [ahead of him]. It was amazing. The level of discussion was, particularly for someone accustomed to the US for the last few years, awesome.”

As China Slowly Dumps the Dollar

In my last blog about the dollar - China and Russia to De-Emphasize the World Trade Dollar I discussed the meeting that occurred between these two countries over two weeks ago. I stated that it was their avowed intention  - more or less - to topple the dollar’s top position as the World Reserve Currency. In another article I showed how Mr Paulson and the Treasury had blatantly manipulated the currency markets to prop up the dollar value, buying $630 billion worth of foreign currencies via credit default swaps. This action has rapidly and artificially increased the strength of the dollar as well as depressed the value of commodities such as oil. All manipulated, all temporary. Paulson did this to ultimately manipulate US market confidence so that he could say, “Hey look guys, the dollar is now really strong…See,  there’s no need to worry about the dollar now !!” as a nicely timed defense strategy at the G20 Summit which is ongoing now. These credit default swaps purchased by Mr Paulson’s brotherhood will expire in 84 days from October - which means that shortly after Xmas or New Year the US dollar will crash big as the world currency markets will become flooded - once again - by that worthless and over-inflated piece of paper known as the dollar. And therefore, as a result of its clever timing and set-up, this ‘hot potato’ will be conveniently passed to the new President-elect Obama in January, just in time for Bush Jnr to wave goodbye and laugh, now  completely blameless for all these and future events that he has helped - and so effortlessly it seems - to create through his truly dumb, voodoo-economic policies.

Meanwhile here is more related bad news from China. This article was from today’s Motley Fool and its content shows how China is responding to the weak and globally hurtful dollar. Of course the Chinese have clocked what Paulson’s brotherhood is up to, and their greatest wish seems to be - together with Russia -  to slowly destroy the dollar. They will do this by unloading  and spending all their dollar reserves domestically, and they will obviously stop buying US debt. Read on:

Brazil’s President Lula told his country in September, “People ask me about the [financial] crisis, and I answer, go ask Bush. It is his crisis, not mine.”

Fifty days later, British Treasury Secretary Stephen Timms told a conference of G-20 nations gathered in Sao Paulo, Brazil: “We are in extraordinary times, the global economy is facing shocks which are wholly without precedent and we need a new approach. … It is a global crisis. It therefore requires an international response.”

In other words, what goes around, comes around. Global schadenfreude toward a stupid and greedy United States and its subprime mortgage meltdown has rapidly become global concern about how to rescue the world from an all-encompassing financial disaster.

And if that were not enough, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently lowered its outlook for the entire global economy.

One country’s plan to step up
Against that backdrop, China announced a 4-trillion-yuan ($586 billion) stimulus package for its domestic economy this past Sunday. It plans to fund extensive infrastructure construction, aid poor farmers, and cut export taxes.

While China’s plan has clear beneficiaries, and should help keep more laborers in their jobs and prop up domestic consumer spending, the most important (and underreported) aspect of the plan is how it will fundamentally change the economic relationship between the U.S. and China.

Here’s how it was
One of the big debates over the past half-decade was whetherimg China had reached a point in its economic development at which its internal economic gravity would allow it to “decouple” from the global economy. If so, it could continue along its fantastic growth trajectory, even as growth in the U.S. or Europe ceased or reversed.

That may sound like gobbledygook, but it’s important. The U.S. has a $20 billion monthly trade deficit with China. It’s funded by China’s willingness to hold U.S. treasuries in its Central Bank (essentially, we’re borrowing the money). China manages the arrangement by pegging its currency (the yuan) to the dollar at an artificially low rate, and by not worrying so much about certain niceties like environmental regulation and labor protection.

It’s a mutually beneficial arrangement — a weak yuan supports Chinese exporters, helping the country industrialize and quickly integrate rural migrants into its urban workforce, with the salutary effect of keeping inflation and potential political unrest low. For its part, the U.S. has gotten dirt cheap financing, by virtue of China parking more than a trillion dollars in U.S. government securities. That has supported the dollar and allowed the Federal Reserve to fuel consumer spending by keeping interest rates low.

China’s stimulus package heralds the unwinding of this relationship.img1

Here’s how it will be
This is why the decoupling argument matters. Many analysts have pointed to the thousands of factories that have shut down in China in these past few months as evidence that a slowdown in American spending will cause a depression in China — potentially even leading to regime change. But in fact, our trade imbalance with China is artificially preserved by the aforementioned currency peg, and by the decision of China’s state-run banks to make uneconomic loans to businesses it deemed worth propping up.

China has paid heavily for this relationship. Rather than invest its surplus cash in its own country, the Chinese poured money back into the U.S. to further spur our debt-fueled consumption. (Put less artfully, some poor Chinese guy in Shaanxi province was essentially helping you pay your mortgage.)

The announced stimulus package reverses that. Hundreds of billions of dollars that would have gone to propping up the greenback are now being reinvested in China, helping it to transition from its reliance on exports to a self-sustaining economy. So while China isn’t yet decoupled from its export markets, this new spending plan will help it along that path.

What you need to do to survive
China’s huge currency reserves are about to be put to use, and while there will be some real and perhaps severe bumps along the way, the China that comes out on the other side will be a heck of a lot stronger, more independent, and more decoupled than the one we’ve seen up to now.img3

Chinese premier Wen Jiabao called his country’s stimulus the “biggest contribution to the world.” We don’t know whether that’s true, but we do know that China’s ability to reach deep into its huge coffers to finance further growth gives it a significant advantage over the rest of the world’s struggling economies. This is why we continue to believe in the Chinese miracle, and why we think more American investors should be taking advantage of this current temporary downturn to diversify their portfolios into previously expensive Chinese stocks.

Insider Concerns at The Federal Reserve

imageIn 1910, in a quiet backwater in Georgia at The Jekyl Island Hunt Club, there was a meeting whose simple purpose was the formation of US The Federal Reserve. Those who attended were: Senator Nelson Aldrich (Nelson Rockefeller’s maternal grandfather); A. Piatt Andrew, Economist and Assistant Secretary of the Treasury; Frank Vanderlip, President of the National City Bank of New York; Henry P. Norton, President of Morgan’s First National Bank of New York; Paul Moritz Warburg, a German who was partner in the New York banking house of Kuhn, Loeb Co.; Benjamin Strong, an aid to J. P. Morgan.

The Federal Reserve was incorporated in 1913 and has been creating a completely unnecessary National Debt ever since. In simple terms, the Fed creates money as debt. They create money  and credit out of thin air by nothing more than the ruse of “fractional lending” and a book entry. Whenever the members of the Fed make any loans, that debt money is the US money supply.

THE TEN ORIGINAL MEMBER BANKS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE

All owned by the Rothschilds

Rothschild Bank of London
Warburg Bank of Hamburg
Rothschild Bank of Berlin
Lehman Brothers of New York
Lazard Brothers of Paris
Kuhn Loeb Bank of New York
Israel Moses Seif Banks of Italy
Goldman, Sachs of New York
Warburg Bank of Amsterdam
Chase Manhattan Bank of New York

Please note that The Rothschild family owns and runs all the above so-called “American Banks”. Therefore you could safely assume that the Rothschild family both runs and controls the whole of the American Banking System. Indeed, Rothschilds is an old European family which has dominated the European banking system for centuries. So not even an American runs the US banking system - a European family cartel manipulates it completely with impunity.

By 1850, the House of Rothschild represented more wealth than all the families of Europe. Shortly after William Patterson formed the Bank of England(est. 1695),  its control passed to Nathan Rothschild and here is how he did it:

Nathan Rothschild was an observer on the day the Duke of Wellington defeated Napoleon at Waterloo, Belgium. He knew that with this information he could make a fortune. He later paid a sailor a big fee to take him across the English Channel in bad weather. The news of Napoleon’s defeat would take a while to hit England. When Nathan arrived in London, he began selling securities and bonds in a panic. The other investors were deceived into believing that Napoleon won the war and was eyeing England so they began to sell their securities too. What they were unaware of is that Rothschild’s agents were buying all the securities that were being sold in panic. In one day, the Rothschild fortune grew by one million pounds. They literally bought control of England for a few cents on the dollar. The same way the Rockefeller’s went into Japan after World War 2 and bought everything 10 cents on the dollar. SONY=Standard Oil New York, a Rockefeller Company.

Nathan Mayer von Rothschild(1840-1915), 1st Baron Rothschild, once boasted:

“I care not what puppet is placed upon the throne of England to rule the Empire on which the sun never sets. The man that controls Britain’s money supply controls the British Empire, and I control the British money supply.”

Frederick Morton wrote in his book, The Rothschilds:

“…the wealth of the Rothschilds consists of the bankruptcy of nations.”

But the Fed staunchly maintains that they are a private institution who’s only function is to serve the US government and its citizens. Well of course they do !! So, purely out of interest, lets look at those Financial Institutions that Hank Paulson (ex-CEO of Goldman Sachs) and Ben Bernanke have “saved” in the recent TARP bail-out:

  • Morgan Stanley
  • Citibank
  • Wells Fargo
  • Goldman Sachs
  • Bank of America
  • Merrill Lynch
  • State Street
  • Bank of New York

Every single one of these institutions is either related or has interests and connections to the original Fed forming cartel of 1910, ultimately run by the Rothschilds family. These financial institutions have all been saved as a priority by their cartel buddies within the Fed brotherhood. How many Mainstreet banks (that’s ordinary non-Investment Banks) have been saved or helped by the Fed? I would suggest that the Fed brotherhood’s Wall Street tentacles and influence spreads long, dirty and deep into the very heart of the US political infrastructure - which is the only possible explanation that could adequately explain their inexplicable untouchableness and apparent freedom of agenda.

Now some other facts about the the Fed:Fed

  • The Fed, as a private US institution, pays no corporate or any other income tax at all to the US government.
  • The Fed is allowed to look after US prices and the money supply - “at their own discretion”.
  • The Fed charges interest to the US government for every single Federal Note it produces. This charge, in the form of seignorage, is then passed on to the US citizens as an invisible “inflation tax”.
  • The Fed has NEVER been properly audited.
  • At their top-level meetings, the Fed keeps no written records or memoranda.
  • The Fed, as a private institution, is headed by an American banking cartel which, in turn, is under the complete influence of the European-based Rothschild banking family.

As a result of The Fed’s unstoppable financial activity and due to all the rash debt they have caused within America so consistently over the years, 22 cents in every single US dollar is now foreign owned through all their self-serving and mutifarious debt instruments. If these debt instruments were being used properly, then surely the US National Debt would be coming down wouldn’t it ?  But instead, it becomes painfully evident that the Fed uses these foreign loans, multiplied hugely by the practice of “Fractional Reserve Lending” to further create  credit, leading to unstable and untenable mountains of corporate, personal and financial debt. The US Fiscal Debt is currently running at about $60 trillion now, which is 6 X the reported National Debt and about 15 X GDP. These comparisons become even more ridiculous when compared against the dollar notes in circulation - which is approximately $600 billion. The Fiscal Debt is therefore 100 X more than the dollar notes in circulation !! Is this the measure of a strong economy ? Remember that  the total production of the world economy amounts to $60 trillion alone. David Walker, ex-Comptroller General of the government GAO has said that in order to pay back this US Fiscal Debt, every citizen in America would have to pay its government $480,000 just to break even.

In these current hard economic times, it seems that the forefathers of the  American Constitution had some real vision. In 1826, the second bank’s charter was soon to expire and presidential candidate Andrew Jackson - an avid and honest constitutionalist - campaigned fiercely against a central bank which was owned and operated by the international banking element. Here is Jackson’s opinion of those bankers:

“You are a den of vipers. I intend to wipe you out, and by the Eternal God I will rout you out…If people only understood the rank injustice of the money and banking system, there would be a revolution by morning.”

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References:

The Federal Reserve History and Conspiracy

The Federal Reserve: History of Lies, Thievery, and Deceit

David Walker Interview on CBS(Youtube)

The Dollar’s Last Gasp ?

image1Nobody I know really understands the vastness or the complexity of the Derivatives Market. But the evidence appears to be that the dollar, amidst much reverse spin from the US government corridors, is squirming and hurting bad. But how is this possible with the dollar so strong now ? Read the following explanation from the financialsense.com website, and watch the clock carefully - something nasty is coming.

In the cited article, Kirby wrote: “What folks need to understand is that the global OTC derivatives market, measured in tens or hundreds of Trillions, is virtually all US Dollar denominated. Its SYSTEMIC failure, which is now occurring, requires US Dollar balances to clear (settle) the trades (bets). This has created the paradoxical global demand for US Dollars, the currency of a country that is fundamentally bankrupt. By rationing credit to hedge funds that were naturally levered and ‘long commodities’ (institutions like JP Morgan routinely took the other sides of their customers commodities bets, ruining institutions like natural gas player Amaranth), and propping up the balance sheets of those who were short commodities [such as] the Banks. The Federal Reserve led cabal of Central Bankers have ENGINEERED the collapse in commodities prices while creating the illusion (of a perverse USDollar rally). The engineered collapse of the commodities complex became necessary in the eyes of monetary elites because the rush for tangibles and corresponding repudiation of fiat money was becoming manic, as so CLEARLY evidenced by the emerging shortages of precious metals, gold and silver bullion.” My rejoinder is that the crude oil price, and many commodity prices, have come down right before the election, just like in autumn 2006, a perception we share.

Kirby went on to conclude that “We are CLEARLY going to HYPERINFLATE!!!!” He steadfastly contradicts shallow assertions that deflation will dominate the scene. Anyone observing the money supply acceleration in recent weeks can easily see this, yet deflationists seem unable to observe the human response in desperation. We two have frequent debates between ourselves, whether USTreasury Bond default will occur or else a big Reflation Episode. It is possible both will occur. These exchanges will contribute toward a key section in the upcoming November Hat Trick Letter on the weekend of November 9. A topic raging lately between us has been the failures to deliver USTreasurys. This extraordinary phenomenon highlights the extreme mountain of toxic bond (in)securities spewed worldwide by the corrupted US financial sector, but it also highlights the questionable legitimacy of USTreasury Bonds. One should remember that over $2000 billion in counterfeit USTreasury Bonds was probably buried under the World Trade Tower rubble one dark September day in 2001. The traded volume of USTBonds was recorded to be over $2 trillion above official issuance in USTBonds. So maybe we are seeing a redux of counterfeit issuance of USTBonds in order to satisfy unprecedented demand. By the way, USTreasury management is done, and accounting is done, almost like a money laundering operation, handled by JPMorgan. The rise, burial, and revival of supply are all conducted under the convenient accounting rules permitted by national security agencies.

Could the failures to deliver USTreasurys, as shown in the alarming graphic below, be a precursor to actual default? We will see. Kirby maintains a period of tremendous hyper-inflation is coming. My forecast is for a possible USTreasury default, as conditions grow out of control, and economic disintegration catches the nation by surprise. The collapse of General Motors could trigger a profound change in perception concerning the effective implementation of USGovt and Wall Street bailouts and rescues. Either way, disruptions like never seen before are on the horizon. The settlement failures bring into question the integrity of the USTreasurys as a legitimate market. Their counterfeit from more supply than issuance is well documented, and rings like a loud echo to the naked stock shorting chapter of US financial markets.

image

China and Russia to De-Emphasize World Trade Dollar

dollarIn a recent and significant article from Reuters entitled “China PM calls on Russia to Fight Crisis Together”, concerning a meeting of government heads between China and Russia in Moscow, Chinese Minister Wen Jiabao explained:

“We need a new [World Financial] system whereby developing nations will have a stronger say,” he added. “We need to diversify the global currency system, to support its stability through the use of different currencies.”

Wen visited Moscow just three weeks before Russian and Chinese leaders are due to take part in an emergency summit in Washington, called to discuss measures to end the current turmoil and to reshape the global financial architecture. Both Russia and China blame the economic crisis squarely “..on the inefficiency of the existing financial infrastructure focused on the U.S. dollar”.

“Reforming the global financial infrastructure … is an important thing and most timely now,” Wen said.

Russian Prime Minsiter Vladimir Putin suggested that switching, at least partially, to the rouble and yuan in mutual trade could help both countries to weather the crisis. He added:

“At the moment the world which is based on the dollar is suffering serious problems … The situation on the global financial markets remains difficult,” he told the forum.

“In such conditions, we need to think about improving the payments system for bilateral trade, including the use of the national currencies,” he said.

“This will help stabilize our national economies, stabilise finance and stabilise capital markets,” he added.

Both China and Russia have met to effectively decide what can be done about the volatile dollar, in preparation for a World Financial Conference in three weeks time in Washington. From their comments it is clear that both Russia and China are tired of the dollar’s unstable and erratic behaviour, and have clear intentions of perhaps decoupling from the dollar and diversifying their reserves into other  currencies. Currently, China holds $1.9 trillion dollars and Russia holds $500 billion in their dollar reserves.

If China and Russia as well as other countries do decide to sell off their reserves and with a consequent lesser demand for the dollar in commodity purchases, then all those greenbacks will come back home to America. The US government will no longer be able to sell its huge Fiscal Debt abroad in such vast amounts anymore - which would be economically catastrophic for the US government, leading to possible inflation or even rampant hyperinflation and bankruptcy.

From a well-known Chinese blogsite called Global Voices, here are some Chinese comments and opinions concerning the dollar situation and the current financial crisis:

“1. Americans dare not put money in the banks.
2. The downfall of financial industry would drive people away from the bonds Wall Street issued, thus its financing capability would be very much undermined…
5. The dollars are going to devalue so that its status as a global currency would come to an end.
6. As the largest and second largest holders of U.S. Treasury bills, Japan and China would be marred due to the slumping dollar value.
7. Major nations in the world might endeavor to displace their crisis by the method of war, and a new world war with the massive use of nuclear weapons is inevitable…..”

“We should know that China could play a positive role in the crisis as the largest holder of dollar reserve. The problem is, since U.S has long been giving troubles to China and trying to impede the reunification of China. Should we pay back the bad with good?”

“Yes, we should help it. But it should be conditional. Though it’s not moral to bargain that way, we don’t have to feel guilty to do so with Americans, since that’s the way they treated us. We can bargain on Taiwan and Tibet issues. What good chips!”

“So as you guys say, America should never fall, and the entire world ought to uphold the power of U.S so that it can spend others’ money to pay and order goods from other countries.”

“China is like working for U.S, a boss who someday says he has run out of money, the company going to collapse. However, China says,”No, you can’t fall, or I will be starving without a job.” Then the boss says,” OK, then please lend me some money, so that I can keep the company, and you can keep working for me.” What a logic!”

The Washington G20 Summit in three weeks time should prove very interesting.

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The Rape of Paper and the Lies of Freedom

image

From the above chart it appears that - after the Carter administration - the Republicans in majority just love to spend and accumulate debt. And the Bush family seem particularly adept at spending freely. While the Democrats in power always worked to pay back the debt. It seems the Republicans follow the Keynesian and Chicago Economic School tenets of Debt and Consumerism is a good thing in a strong economy. However, the Democrats seem to follow Hayek’s principles from the sterner Austrian School of Economics - whose main precept is that a strong, rich country can only be measured from its Savings and Productivity. I’ll leave it up to you to decide which of these economic methods is madness and which is sensible in the current US economy.

In my research for this article, I really found it hard to find believable figures from the US government websites. They just didn’t seem right. Then I stumbled across a website called shadowstats.com and saw the real figures and charts. This site is run by John Williams, who writes most of the articles. Mr Williams is quite simply dedicated to accuracy, he is logical and painfully meticulous in his interpretation of the charts, he even describes the history of biased government reporting of statistics - President by President from Kennedy right up until Bush Jnr. From his article “Government Economic Reports: Things You’ve Suspected but were Afraid to Ask!”,  John Williams says this:

ShadowStats.com” href=”http://www.shadowstats.com”>Chart of U.S. Money Supply Growth

· During the Kennedy administration, unemployment was redefined with the concept of “discouraged workers” so as to reduce the popularly followed unemployment rate.

· If Lyndon Johnson didn’t like the growth that was going to be reported in the GNP, he sent it back to the Commerce Department, and he kept doing so until Commerce got it right. The Johnson administration also was responsible for gimmicking the accounting that hides most of the federal deficit.

· Richard Nixon had a highly publicized war with the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the unemployment data. Nixon wanted to report the unemployment rate as the lower of the seasonally adjusted or unadjusted number, at any given time, but not specify same to the public. While that approach was unconscionable at the time and never used, basically the same methodology was introduced in 2004 as “state-of-the-art” by the current Bush administration.

ShadowStats.com” href=”http://www.shadowstats.com”>Chart of U.S. Consumer Inflation (CPI)

· The Carter administration was caught deliberately understating inflation.

· Systemic changes were introduced during the Reagan administration to boost reported GNP/GDP growth on a regular basis. The wildest manipulations, however, happened at the time of the 1987 liquidity panic. In addition to intervention in the futures markets by the New York Fed to help prop the stock market after the October 19th crash, direct and heavy manipulation of the trade deficit data, under the direction of the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury, was used in conjunction with massive currency intervention to help bottom the dollar and to contain the currency panic at year-end 1987.

· The first Bush Administration began efforts at the systematic reduction of the reported rate of CPI inflation, and worked an outside-the-system GDP manipulation aimed at helping with the failed 1992 reelection bid.

ShadowStats.com” href=”http://www.shadowstats.com”>Chart of U.S. Unemployment

· As former Labor Secretary Bob Reich explained in his memoirs, the Clinton administration had found in its public polling that if the government inflated economic reporting, enough people would believe it to swing a close election. Accordingly, whatever integrity had survived in the economic reporting system disappeared during the Clinton years. Unemployment was redefined to eliminate five million discouraged workers and to lower the unemployment rate; methodologies were changed to reduce poverty reporting, to reduce reported CPI inflation, to inflate reported GDP growth, among others.

ShadowStats.com” href=”http://www.shadowstats.com”>Chart of Growth in U.S.Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
· The current Bush administration has expanded upon the Clinton era initiatives, particularly in setting the stage for the adoption of a new and lower-inflation CPI and in further redefining the GDP and the concept of seasonal adjustment.

As a result of the systemic manipulations, if the GDP methodology of 1980 were applied to today’s data, the second quarter’s annualized inflation-adjusted GDP growth of 3.0% would be roughly three percent lower (effectively netting to zero percent or below). In like manner, current annual CPI inflation is understated by about 2.7% against the pre-Clinton CPI methodology (would be about 5.7%), and the unemployment rate is understated by about seven percent against its original design and what many people would consider to be actual unemployment (would be about 12.5%).

As to the financial results of federal operations, the application of accrual accounting and generally accepted accounting principles to federal operations shows an actual fiscal year 2003 deficit of $3.7 trillion, as reported by the U.S. Treasury, versus the reported cash-basis $374 billion.

When you read conclusive evidence that virtually every US President since the early ’60s has lied to their trusting electorate, what hope is there ? And if you trust Obama or McCain blindly to be honest in reporting dire economic figures correctly, I urge you to think again carefully. The fact is, nothing will change - the US political status quo will continue, undisturbed, uncaring and rotten to the core, and these economic lies will always flow and persist - unchallenged.

References

All charts are borrowed from WhiteHouse.gov or ShadowStats.Com

Truth to Power: As Europe Prostitutes Itself to Russia

Russian PipelinesSince the ’90’s Russia has steadily constructed pipelines into Europe, only too happy to supply and pander to the voracious European appetite for oil and gas. Russia has undoubtedly encouraged this dependency. These Soviet oil and gas tentacles now supply all the major European countries with their industrial lifeblood, as Putin and Medvedev patiently wait for their coming advantage.

With America’s stock market still pussing and bleeding all over the world’s financial markets, while the US government’s fiscal debt leaves its economy racked, bare and weak as the precious dollar value goes up and down like a yoyo, supported only by abstract statistical lies from the US government to its own people and the greed of Wall Street, and as US leaders desperately try to avoid their strained dependency on Middle East oil, Putin’s indirect plan continues to move steadily and quietly ahead, completely unhindered by both America or Europe.

In the recent conflict between Georgia and Russia, NATO’s reaction must surely be described as feeble. This weak political and martial response by Europe is quite evidently governed by stark economic fears. Energy is the lifeblood of any nation and Europe’s political mettle has recently been tested hard. Georgia wanted to join NATO, but Angela Merkel - the German Chancellor, vetoed against Georgia joining - amidst weak protests from France, UK and the US. Germany is a big and symbiotic industrial partner for Russia - Germany supplies the technology and organization, and Russia endlessly trickle-feeds Germany her precious oil and gas. If Georgia - on the border with Russia - were to be allowed into the NATO fold, Russia would not be very pleased. And all Putin would have to do is turn off the oil and gas taps into Europe as he has already done against his own rebellious satellites in recent years. Therefore, as perceived by Putin, Merkel and other European states, Georgia is surely a paltry sacrifice to pay as compared to the dire economic need for the persistent trickle of black Russian oil into Europe.

So, as Russia’s oil influence and dependency spreads inevitably like a surreptitious pox acrossoil Europe, the political tide will undoubtedly shift and change - the tug of Russia’s political sway too strong to resist, since Europe - for her own economic survival - must soon eventually bow and scrape in deference to Russia’s policies. And so, as Russia’s influence steadily blooms into outright dominance, this subtle takeover will be complete and a new hegemon is born.

In the bloodless aftermath, America will become more isolated and politically friendless - a lone, bewildered animal left to forage and fend for itself. Russia, in partnership with the likes of China, Venezuela and certain other countries in the Mid-East, will persist and continue to hurt America - and through America’s own callous loss of control over her currency - this cabal will be able to silently attack and wrong-foot America economically until the dollar falls big and - because of the American government’s careless laissez-faire attitude towards its own huge fiscal debt - dollar hyperinflation and bankruptcy will arrive to eventually decimate American World Leadership and lay waste the American Way, abruptly to dissolve into a forlorn and forgotten memory.

Of course this could never happen, could it ?

Keep praying.

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References:

A Study in Collapse by J R Nyquist

The Monster at the Bottom of the Abyss by J R Nyquist

Inflation, Money Supply, GDP, Unemployment and the Dollar - Alternate Data Series - by John Williams

Menu of Pain by slowsmile

The Ravages of Ignored US Debt by slowsmile

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Bernanke and Paulson - Monkey Business

M Brothers

So, as we breath a small sigh of relief and trust,  the bail-out remedy has been dissolved into the financial institutions — still fizzing –  and we wait for its effect. My blind and shaky faith in both Paulson’s and Bernanke’s economic capabilities reminds me of the Marx Brother’s film Monkey Business, wherein  Groucho quips, “Sure I’m a doctor, where’s the horse ?”.

The secretive, adhoc and shadow-agenda-tilted remedies of these two “government employees” does not stir any faith from my bowels whatsoever. Their continued verbal flatulence - telling us nothing really - makes me wonder whether the coming Depression is, indeed, stoppable - or is it like those multitude of assured and very expensive allopathic cancer “cures”, where it is so difficult to determine whether the poor and trusting cancer patient was - in the end - killed by the cancer or the vicious “cure”. Meanwhile, the advising doctors and drugs companies get fatter and richer. I’m sure even Hippocrates himself would shudder with disgust and horror at this sick ruse…

First Paulson. His background and pure essence is Wall Street. He was an Ivy Leaguer, East coast, and was a star wrestler and footballer at college.  He has a B. A. in English from Dartmouth College. Disappointingly, I can’t find any learned references to Economics within his education at all. Paulson began his work in government, moving up to work as assistant secretary to Jon Ehrlichman in the Nixon administration from 1972 - 73. From here he joined Goldman Sachs, eventually succeeding Jon Corzine to become CEO in 1998. In Wikipedia his achievements may be further summed up:

“His net worth has been estimated at over US$700 million.[9] Paulson has personally built close relations with China during his career. In July 2008 it was reported by The Daily Telegraph that: “Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson has intimate relations with the Chinese elite, dating from his days at Goldman Sachs when he visited the country more than 70 times.”"

Just before the bailout vote in the senate, Goldman Sachs (together with other major financial institutions) contributed significant funds to both McCain and Obama as well as to other major players including Senator Dodd, Head of the Senate Banking Committee. Perhaps they did this to assure safe passage of the Bailout Bill through the Senate ? See it here :

Here is evidence of who Paulson really works for :

Evidence of Political Manipulation by Goldman Sachs:

Ben Bernanke, the other half of the Wall Street weasel alliance, is from a different type of educational mold(mostly fungal). He graduated from from Harvard and studied at MIT obtaining a PhD in Economics, taught at Princeton and became Chairman of the Fed in 2006. His hobbies include continuous and tortuous economic study of the Great Depression, playing with his secret and gargantuan toy train set in his dark attic, quietly flossing his teeth on the strings of a rusty, Hendrix Strat-copy whilst deftly reading primo selections of old Marvel comics during his toilet ablutions, arguing incessantly with Ron Paul about the weather, and currently maintains a demonic and unstoppable fascination for the workings of The Fed’s printing press. In his address to the gathering on Milton Friedman’s 90th birthday, “Helicopter Ben” promised this:

“Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve System. I would like to say to Milton and Anna: Regarding the Great Depression. You’re right, we did it. We’re very sorry. But thanks to you, we won’t do it again.”

“…abusing slightly…” is certainly a correct description here, though it’s impact is, perhaps, just a tad under-defined. And as to his end prophesy: No comment.

In the relationship that does exists between Paulson and Bernanke - I am  once again reminded of a certain excerpt from “Monkey Business” -  wherein Harpo so memorably and eloquently performs “Daffy About You” so as to leave tears dribbling from my eyes…

I still laugh hopelessly at it now.

World Bank Report - The Safest Countries for Your Savings

Gold

Survey - Canada Rated World’s Soundest Bank System

In a report from Reuters yesterday, here are the latest “safe bank” ratings. This article presents ratings of both weak and rock solid banks and rates the banks per country. It’s an interesting read. Needless to say both America and UK are way down there in the ratings now…

“Canada has the world’s soundest banking system, closely followed by Sweden, Luxembourg and Australia, a survey by the World Economic Forum has found as financial crisis and bank failures shake world markets.

But Britain, which once ranked in the top five, has slipped to 44th place behind El Salvador and Peru, after a 50 billion pound ($86.5 billion) pledge this week by the government to bolster bank balance sheets.

The United States, where some of Wall Street’s biggest financial names have collapsed in recent weeks, rated only 40, just behind Germany at 39, and smaller states such as Barbados, Estonia and even Namibia, in southern Africa.

The United States was on Thursday considering buying a slice of debt-laden banks to inject trust back into lending between financial institutions now too wary of one another to lend.

The World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report based its findings on opinions of executives, and handed banks a score between 1.0 (insolvent and possibly requiring a government bailout) and 7.0 (healthy, with sound balance sheets).

Canadian banks receivedoil 6.8, just ahead of Sweden (6.7), Luxembourg (6.7), Australia (6.7) and Denmark (6.7).

UK banks collectively scored 6.0, narrowly behind the United States, Germany and Botswana, all with 6.1. France, in 19th place, scored 6.5 for soundness, while Switzerland’s banking system scored the same in 16th place, as did Singapore (13th).

The ranking index was released as central banks in Europe, the United States, China, Canada, Sweden and Switzerland slashed interest rates in a bid to end to panic selling on markets and restore trust in the shaken banking system.

The Netherlands (6.7), Belgium (6.6), New Zealand (6.6), Malta (6.6) rounded out the WEF’s banking top 10 with Ireland, whose government unilaterally pledged last week to guarantee personal and corporate deposits at its six major banks.