Taking a Deep Breath and Looking at Iran Geostrategically

Iran is already a nuclear power, a threat to the peace in the region and international equilibrium. Iran has borders with 15 countries without a single strategic friend along its long borders.

During the World War I and especially World War II, Iran was occupied, and the Soviet Union in 1945 openly and directly instigated separatists in Iran. but then Soviet activities were frustrated by U.S. President Harry Truman. Iraq invaded Iran in 1990s, using chemical and biological weapons and killing over 400,000 and maimed close to one million.

(T)he issue is responsibility of a government. The Islamic republic is irrational and supports international terrorist groups. It not only denies the Holocaust, but is openly and repeatedly seeking the destruction of the state of Israel. That is why the international community cannot tolerate such a radical regime with nuclear weapons.

Approaches to correcting it includes:

1.    Negotiations and diplomatic engagement experienced a miscarriage It is not a normal and rational regime. Iran’s strategy is to buy time.

2.    Sanction will not be effective. Russia and China will not agree

3.    Neither war nor a military strike by Israel or the U.S., which some quarters are advocating, will be effective. 

The wisest policy is a fourth option, It means supporting the brave Iranian people who during the past 5 months have proven to be ready to overthrow the regime that they abhor. Iranians want a radical change and the removal of the Islamic regime from the pinnacle of power. They do not believe in reform of the regime, The Islamic Republic with its domestic and foreign policy has created two important enemies: the people of Iran and the U.S. and Israel.

I think the unsuccessful strategy that President Bush intended to follow may be finally adopted and implemented by President Obama. Obama extended his hands of friendship toward Tehran, (it) did not reciprocate and deceitfully dodged and is buying time.

The foundation of the Islamic regime is shaky. The element of fear is gone. People are openly challenging, and disrupting the rule of, Supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei.  It is time for the Obama Administration

to tilt openly and enthusiastically towards the people and offer its unwavering support to them. by:

1.    better and effective use of VOA, the U.S. can expose the corruption and inefficiency of the clerical leadership.

2.    It could also highlight the violation of human rights, ruthlessness of the regime and its harsh suppressions, and torture and killing of innocent people.

3.    it could help formation of a competent national government in exile that can reflect the ideas and will of the people of Iran and lead them to gain their freedom.