Israel Pledge No Iranian Holocaust
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U. S. Presidential Elections Will Dictate Timing Of Israel’s Attack on Iran.
When Israel’s Shaul Mofaz talks, Washington listens . . . very carefully. “It is a race against time,” he said recently about stopping Iran’s nuclear bomb building, “and time is winning.” For Israel, time runs out before the U.S. elections on Nov. 4. After that Barack Obama may be the next president of the U.S. and Israeli powers fear he may disassociate himself and the U. S. from any Israeli military action against Iran.”
The Iranian born Mofaz, 60, is now deputy prime minister was chief of staff of Israel’s armed forces, and maybe it’s next prime minister. He is a tough bird. Mofaz took part in the legendary rescue mission in Uganda (1976); fought in the Six-Day War, the Yom Kippur War, and the 1982 Lebanon War rising from paratroop brigade commander to chief of staff.
There is little confidence that Russia or China will allow sanctions strong enough to work to be exacted against Iran. Iran knows it and believes if it stalls a little longer a new, inexperienced and weaker U. S. administration will render the issue moot buying enough time to arm itself with nuclear weapons rendering Israel and the U. S. impotent against it.
Despite angst in the Persian Gulf — Iran with a nuclear weapon, said Mr. Mofaz, will “deepen and strengthen the global terrorist threat.” Therefore, he explained, Israel will not allow Iran to develop a nuclear capability, “because Israel is not prepared to face a second Holocaust.” Holocaust, of course, evokes the memory of Hitler’s “final solution” that killed 6 million Jews, and is now seen in Israel as a mammoth Iranian sword of Damocles.
In 1933 Adolf Hitler came to power, the world ignored the paranoid rants in “Mein Kampf” about the Jewish peril, a preview of coming horrors Hitler published nine years before. Mofaz likens that to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s inflammatory utterances on the stump, say Jews, and are tantamount to talking about a final solution for the Jewish homeland.
If polls show John McCain with a substantial lead in the fall, a new Israeli government, led by Mr. Mofaz or, following elections, by Mr. Netanyahu, will know it can count on U.S. support. Sen. Joe Lieberman, a close friend of and adviser to Mr. McCain, agrees with the neocon refrain: Only one thing worse than bombing Iran is an Iranian bomb. If Obama leads Israel feels it will have to act sooner than later. Obama’s visit failed to impress Israelis.
Comment by Ivan Risidin on 11 August 2008:
Professor Cochrane,I agree with your conclusion of near certainty of the Israeli attack, but differ a bit on the timing. I see that the Russian Georgian war will be smothered by news of the Israeli attack.
I would bet there is a back door agreement somewhere that both assaults will absolve each other [not in the press, but effectively]. Israel is likely to act totally in its own interests. Debka File [Israeli source] interprets Condoleeza Rice’s recent statements as license. I had predicted a year ago that the attack on Iran would take place after the election and before the inauguration–as it would not matter who became president as long as GW Bush had his finger on the trigger, BUT i bet they fell free sooner, also boosting the chances of their clearly preferred candidate John McCain.
Comment by R. Cochrane on 11 August 2008:
Ivan- We agreed on a “Thanksgiving Surprie” month’s ago but now I believe, unless McCain is wildy ahead in polling by mid-October that Israel attacks before the election to help elect McCain. I think the dark of the moon is October 30-November 2. That forbodes a good attack window– miht as well have a dark night.
Comment by Ivan Risidin on 11 August 2008:
YES,
Makes sense.
The stores in Moscow will be empty of canned goods !
IR