About the Author

Richard Cochrane is trained in chemistry and metallurgy but is far more interested and practiced as a political and fund raising consultant, writer and amateur historian. He grew up in a Navy family and with his two younger brothers carried on its 500+ year tradition of naval service to Great Britain and the USA then enjoyed a career with one of the largest advertising and public relations agencies working with numerous Fortune 500 companies and many of America's premier educational institutions. He maintains friendships and acquaintanceships around the world. He lives in Santa Barbara, California.

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Presidential Horserace Still Neck-And-Neck

July 16th, 2008 • Richard Cochrane
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Always, always, check behind the scenesWhat’s below topline tell story

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll has Obama leading McCain 50-42% buoyed by a big edge among women and a 19-point lead on the economy. While 56 percent of respondents said Obama knows enough about world affairs to be a good president, 72 percent said so about McCain. Head to head, McCain was judged as the one with greater knowledge of the world by more than 2 to 1. McCain holds a narrow edge as the candidate better suited to deal with an unexpected major crisis, and he is more trusted, by a six-point margin, on the issue of fighting terrorism. Such deficits are the primary reason driving Obama’s worl tour next week.

Men divide about evenly, while the Democrat leads by 15 points among women (54 percent to 39 percent). Obama has now pulled even with McCain among white women, for his best showing among this group since April. Obama now leads by 2 to 1 among voters 18 to 34 years old. Among seniors, 45 percent support McCain and 40 percent back Obama.

Among white voters, McCain has an advantage of 50 percent to 42 percent , while 94 percent of African Americans support Obama. The candidates are tied among whites who earn less than $50,000 a year, while McCain leads by 10 percentage points among those earning more than that.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll reeleased at 9:30 AM Eastern time today shows Barack Obama attracting 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 41%. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 45%. McCain leads by a 60% to 26% margin among Evangelical Christians and holds a very slight edge over Obama among other Protestant voters and Catholic voters. Obama holds a thirty-five point advantage among all other voters. Most voters who attend Church at least weekly support McCain and most who rarely or never attend services prefer Obama.

Both candidates are viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide. McCain is viewed favorably by 71% of Evangelical Christians, 59% of other Protestant voters, and 64% of Catholic voters. Obama earns favorable reviews from 39% of Evangelical Christians, 53% of other Protestant voters, and 51% of Catholic voters. Among all other voters, Obama is viewed favorably by 67%, McCain by 38%.

In 2004, 56% favored Democrat Sen. John F. Kerry at this stage before losing in November.

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